You Can Now Safely Bet On Gavin Newsom Retaining His Job

Posted: September 5, 2021

Updated: October 5, 2021

Odds On California Recall Election Solidify
Get Your Bet On Gavin Newsom At Bovada
Texas Removes Any Voter Apathy Concerns

Gavin Newsom in '19 - Image source: Flickr

For a while, the Governor of California, Gavin Newsom, looked as if he were in trouble. Populist right-wing candidates seemed to threaten his position. Could apathetic Democratic voters allow the Republicans to snaffle away his job? However, the latest polls show him comfortably ahead, and indeed, as do the odds on Gavin Newsom at online betting sites in the US like Bovada. So does that mean you have to bet on the California Recall Election failing to remove him? Let's see. Just how much faith you place in polls these days is a touchy subject. Some still have faith, others dismiss them out of hand. However, with no other pre-vote indicators to quantify we are really stuck with them. So over in California (just follow the palls of smoke) all we have to go on is the polling numbers. Certainly, we can’t believe either of the campaign’s assessments. The GOP bet on Gavin Newsom being vulnerable and talk like it, whilst the Democrats just scream in torment. They all weathered the brutal 2020 election only to discover some of the GOP haven’t given up yet. They’re still fighting those battles. That’s why the odds on the California Recall Election are so interesting. You’ll not find a better litmus test of popular support for the Right’s obstructionist agenda. At the moment, you can bet on Gavin Newsom smiling about the numbers. He’s 1/4 to keep his job, and only 11/4 to lose it according to online sportsbook sites in the US like Bovada.

Recall Election Polls Show Newsom Getting Safer

That’s not bad. Indeed you’d think that would have long since allayed any fears the Democrats might have. Alas, you can always bet on the Democrats to worry even when the odds on the Democrats are clearly in their favor. They worry, quite rightly, about voter apathy. Whilst the Right seem to have little problem getting the vote out, the Left can experience issues. So you can bet on Gavin Newsom having worried about people just not coming out to back him at the polls.

2021 California Recall Election

Bet To Remove – 11/4

Bet To Keep – 1/4

Fortunately, you can always bet on the Republicans to shoot themselves in the foot eventually. In a party of extremists the odds on the Republicans getting through a week without scandal is doubtful. Ron DeSantis is a scandal machine all by himself. Just look at the January 6th phone records debacle. So anyone who had taken advantage of US gambling laws to bet on Gavin Newsom getting recalled will have been quite disappointed with how things went down in Texas.

Bovada Has Your Perfect Bet On Gavin Newsom

Now you shouldn’t bet on Gavin Newsom jumping for joy about Texas introducing its new abortion restrictions. However, the Texans have just smeared the entire GOP with their effluent. Any fears Californian democrats may have had concerning voter apathy just rode out of town on Roe vs Wade. Gavin currently leads in the polls by 8.4 points. Give the news media another few days to work on Texas and that’ll go up some more. A lot more. The Texans just triggered everyone.

California Recall Election Odds at Bovada

Caitlyn Jenner – 33/1

John Cox – 33/1

Kevin Faulconer – 20/1

Kevin Paffrath – 7/1

Larry Elder – 5/1

Gavin Newsom – 2/9

So you can expect to see a higher than expected turn out in the California Recall Election. You can also bet on Gavin Newsom to face no challenge. Voters will reject the request for a recall out of hand, the vocal rightist candidates will vanish again. The GOP may think it can fight old battles of 2020. However, anyone who likes to bet on politics in the US will spot they’ve just dredged up a far older war. A war, whatever they believe, they’re never going to win. Ever.