Politics

Bernie Sanders the Best Bet at 2020 New Hampshire Democratic Primary Odds

  • Sanders leads with the biggest army of supporters
  • Mr. Biden has recently bounced back in the polls
  • Warren slipped down in the polls since November
  • Buttigieg focused almost exclusively at the early states
Image via Flickr

Democratic Primaries are kicking off in February. New Hampshire will go second, few days after Iowa. Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden are basically tied. But, it seems Sanders is the best bet at New Hampshire Democratic Primary odds.

Currently, there are 14 Democratic presidential candidates running in the race. However, in the early states including New Hampshire, the race is looking more like a traffic jam between four candidates. According to the online sportsbook news in the US, Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and Pete Buttigieg have a good chance.

The four candidates are also the top contenders at the New Hampshire Democratic Primary odds. Yet, despite that, the margins are quite small, Bernie Sanders might come out victorious at the Granite State.

What polls say?

The national polls at the NewYork Times show that Mr. Biden still leads the race at 27% with 8 clear points over Sanders who sits second at 19%. Warren is behind with 16%, while Buttigieg sits fourth at 9%. However, in New Hampshire, the race is in a different shape. According to Real Clear Politics and FiveThirtyEight, Sanders is forecasted to win an average of 22%. Mr. Biden is behind with expectations to win 21% of the vote. Buttigieg is third at 19% and Warren has slipped down to 15%.

Sanders leads with the biggest army of supporters

Probably because of his great polling results in the first two states Iowa and New Hampshire, Sanders has good chances nationally. He is running ahead at the New Hampshire Democratic Primary odds with a value of 1.525 at 22BET Sportsbook. One of the reasons though is fundraising success based on contributions coming from an army of supporters.

He recently said to NBC NewsI think we have an excellent chance to win here again in New Hampshire, to defeat the most dangerous president in the history of the country and to transform our economy and government so that finally it represents all of us and not just the one percent”. However, you should keep in mind that Bernie’s lead over Biden is very narrow, so anything can happen.

Mr. Biden has recently bounced back in the polls

The former vice president has bounced back in the polls after his numbers deteriorated for most of the summer and fall of 2019. Now he has a realist chance of a strong finish, perhaps even a win with 4 odds, as per online gambling sites in the US. One of the reasons for his comeback is the biggest media attention he gets from news networks like CNN, FOX News, and MSNBC. Another reason is that many Democratic voters consider him as a safe choice. Mr. Biden might take the lead in the early nominating states like New Hampshire. But, many think he is a relatively weak frontrunner.

Warren slipped down in the polls since November

Elizabeth Warren was a clear frontrunner as recently as October when she led the poll in New Hampshire. However, he has slipped down to fourth place. Some think it is because of liberal voters moving toward Sanders. Others think that her policies are too progressive and do not fit white-dominated states like New Hampshire. However, it is not a smart thing to count Warren out, especially that she has a strong operation on the ground in New Hampshire and her stand at 10.

Image result for bernie sanders
Bernie Sanders – Image via Flickr

Buttigieg focused almost exclusively at the early states

The former mayor of South Bend, Indiana, has been focusing almost exclusively at the early states including New Hampshire. He had more trips to New Hampshire than any other frontrunner. The 37-year-old presents to the voters a similar brand of centrism to Biden but in a more youthful, vigorous vessel. He will likely make a strong showing with 5 odds to win. However, it is a tough race and Buttigieg is probably a risky bet.

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