Bet On Donald Trump? So Crazy It Might Just Work
Posted: October 25, 2015
Updated: October 6, 2017
Biden choose the White House rose garden to tell the media that he wasn't going to join the fray of the 2016 Presidential election, an announcement somewhat foreshadowed by his absence from the first televised Democrat debate, and whilst the political classes might not miss the touchy-feely, buy-a-shotgun, Vice president, the knock on effect could be to make a bet on Donald Trump less silly than it seems.
At the outset there was a certain inevitability to Hillary Clinton going up against Jeb Bush in a presidential name-off, the two political families with all their experience and connections bound to rid the process of all other candidates, and each almost a shoo in for the nomination just as soon as they announced. Since then, however, things haven't really panned out as expected to the degree a bet on Donald Trump is no longer the laughing matter it once was.
Both parties, the Republicans and Democrats, are facing the rather galling situation of having perfectly acceptable candidates ready to run being wholly overshadowed by people the established party machine can't stand and would happily see hit by a truck. The Democrats have Bernie Sanders who has been making a lot of noise with his leftie credentials, and the Republicans now may have to bet on Donald Trump given he's head and shoulders ahead in their race to the nomination.
Normally the political machine would roll right over these populist candidates, and indeed it still might, but as we start to near the 'just-a-year-to-go' mark there is a window of opportunity closing. Leave it too long and there's a possibility that the popularity will be enough to sway actual delegates, and any campaign to defeat them will look desperate and divisive, however both sides seem to be letting this ride for now, a gamble far bigger than merely circumventing US gambling laws to bet on Donald Trump.
The problem is that both the establishment-continuity candidates, Clinton and Bush, are just a little flawed. Clinton has more baggage that Emelda Marcos coming back from shoe shopping, with the emails scandal rumbling on fueled by the right wing press, and Jeb Bush is the poster boy for the empty suit club, a man with a lack of personality that most shop window mannequins would consider made him a dull conversationalist. This makes a bet on Donald Trump right now a serious proposition.
Should some ghastly revelation about Hillary hand the nomination to Sanders the Republicans will not need the stolid dull Jeb Bush to win, indeed it would be folly to run the third stooge against someone with Bernie's brains, but Trump? No one will expect Trump to battle Bernie on the economy or sensible policy issues. No, Trump will just stand up, accuse Sanders of being a socialists (a charge Bernie can't really deny) and win through on a wave of jingoistic right-wing nationalistic stupidity.
Sound implausible? Does it? Really? Most Republicans haven't forgiven the Bush family for making them look stupid the first twice round, a third is something they'll only accept with no other options, and there really aren't any save for Trump. Oh sure Marco Rubio is still there, but you have to be reminded he is, which says lots about his chances this time round. Hillary has the election in the bag with the women's vote right now, but if she's taken out by some ridiculously twisted and hyped ghost from her past a bet on Donald Trump suddenly becomes less silly.
Right now at Bet365 you can get 8/1 on Trump. That's the same as you can get on Sanders who, frankly, might play well in certain states full of of hipsters and students, but couldn't win even the pinkest of red states in a million years, and, whilst the bookies are still showing Hillary to be up at 4/5 and Jeb Bush nearby at 13/2, the fact is that neither of those is the foregone conclusion they were at the start of the campaign, and a $100 bet on Donald Trump at 8/1 isn't as bizarre as once it sounded.
Look at it this way. Put $100 on Trump to win and the worse that you can say when it's all over is that you paid $100 for Donald Trump NOT to become president, and if the ghastly happens, and the US once again gets the president they deserve, I'm gambling news of President Trump's election will require about $800 bucks worth of booze and drugs to get over in the short term. So take my advice and get on over to Bet365 and take out the only insurance you really have against the man in the wig.
Bet On Donald Trump?I know what you're thinking. You're thinking I can't possibly be about to advise those that like to bet on sports in the US should spare some of their bankroll to place a wager at Bet365 or similar on Donald Trump of all people to win the Presidential race in 2016, but I'm afraid I am. What would at first sight very much resemble utter madness, and until very recently did, has now become a wager that is worth making for a whole variety of reasons.
• The ridiculous or realistic?
• Hillary & Bush flawed?
• Sanders a socialist?
At the outset there was a certain inevitability to Hillary Clinton going up against Jeb Bush in a presidential name-off, the two political families with all their experience and connections bound to rid the process of all other candidates, and each almost a shoo in for the nomination just as soon as they announced. Since then, however, things haven't really panned out as expected to the degree a bet on Donald Trump is no longer the laughing matter it once was.
Both parties, the Republicans and Democrats, are facing the rather galling situation of having perfectly acceptable candidates ready to run being wholly overshadowed by people the established party machine can't stand and would happily see hit by a truck. The Democrats have Bernie Sanders who has been making a lot of noise with his leftie credentials, and the Republicans now may have to bet on Donald Trump given he's head and shoulders ahead in their race to the nomination.
Flawed Continuity Candidates Vs The Populists
Wanna make a bet? Good luck with that! (Photo: Getty Image)
Normally the political machine would roll right over these populist candidates, and indeed it still might, but as we start to near the 'just-a-year-to-go' mark there is a window of opportunity closing. Leave it too long and there's a possibility that the popularity will be enough to sway actual delegates, and any campaign to defeat them will look desperate and divisive, however both sides seem to be letting this ride for now, a gamble far bigger than merely circumventing US gambling laws to bet on Donald Trump.
The problem is that both the establishment-continuity candidates, Clinton and Bush, are just a little flawed. Clinton has more baggage that Emelda Marcos coming back from shoe shopping, with the emails scandal rumbling on fueled by the right wing press, and Jeb Bush is the poster boy for the empty suit club, a man with a lack of personality that most shop window mannequins would consider made him a dull conversationalist. This makes a bet on Donald Trump right now a serious proposition.
Should some ghastly revelation about Hillary hand the nomination to Sanders the Republicans will not need the stolid dull Jeb Bush to win, indeed it would be folly to run the third stooge against someone with Bernie's brains, but Trump? No one will expect Trump to battle Bernie on the economy or sensible policy issues. No, Trump will just stand up, accuse Sanders of being a socialists (a charge Bernie can't really deny) and win through on a wave of jingoistic right-wing nationalistic stupidity.
A Bet On Donald Trump Becomes Plausible
Okay, if you say so. (Photo: CNN)
Sound implausible? Does it? Really? Most Republicans haven't forgiven the Bush family for making them look stupid the first twice round, a third is something they'll only accept with no other options, and there really aren't any save for Trump. Oh sure Marco Rubio is still there, but you have to be reminded he is, which says lots about his chances this time round. Hillary has the election in the bag with the women's vote right now, but if she's taken out by some ridiculously twisted and hyped ghost from her past a bet on Donald Trump suddenly becomes less silly.
Right now at Bet365 you can get 8/1 on Trump. That's the same as you can get on Sanders who, frankly, might play well in certain states full of of hipsters and students, but couldn't win even the pinkest of red states in a million years, and, whilst the bookies are still showing Hillary to be up at 4/5 and Jeb Bush nearby at 13/2, the fact is that neither of those is the foregone conclusion they were at the start of the campaign, and a $100 bet on Donald Trump at 8/1 isn't as bizarre as once it sounded.
Look at it this way. Put $100 on Trump to win and the worse that you can say when it's all over is that you paid $100 for Donald Trump NOT to become president, and if the ghastly happens, and the US once again gets the president they deserve, I'm gambling news of President Trump's election will require about $800 bucks worth of booze and drugs to get over in the short term. So take my advice and get on over to Bet365 and take out the only insurance you really have against the man in the wig.
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