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Christmas Weather Odds 2021: We Want Snow!

  • The question all of us have in December 2021: Will there be snow for Christmas?
  • Indeed, snow can make Christmas even more magical
  • We can calculate the likelihood of such an event as Christmas weather odds 2021
Christmas weather odds 2021

The question all of us have in December 2021: Will there be snow for Christmas? To tell you the truth, whether or not the weather will smile on everyone is unknown, but chances are there. Indeed, snow can make Christmas even more magical. For many of us, this holiday is associated not only with weekends, gifts, and family gatherings but also with the white landscape outside. Unfortunately, long-term weather forecasts are closer to esotericism than to the exact sciences. Thus, we will not get an exact answer. However, we can calculate the likelihood of such an event as Christmas weather odds 2021. Let’s check it out!

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The Science Behind The Weather Forecast

According to statistics, if we take the period 2010 – 2020 in the UK, snow was present at Christmas only 2 times. This information is not very encouraging. However, it still leaves hope and good odds – 1 to 5. Next, we turn to long-term planning. According to these forecasts, there is a high likelihood of freezing temperatures around Christmas, which in turn increases the chances of snow cover. You can also see from the temperature graph that the coolness will come in the second half of December. And since the graphs are more accurate for several weeks, it also adds points to the snowy weather.

From these data, we obtain information about the arrival of polar air in Central Europe. Until then, the weather will be unstable, rain and snow, squally winds make it not very attractive to be in open spaces. Another scientific method, based on the NOAA weather model from the USA, is calculated several months in advance and shows whether a month as a whole will be too warm or too cold. According to these data, it is likely that the temperature will stay within the optimal range for snowfall. Online sportsbooks in the UK also take into account this data before offering their odds. And if you are interested in the scientific aspect of such bets, read our article The Traditional Anachronism Of A Bet On The Christmas No.1

Christmas Weather Odds 2021: Special Signs

Since long-term weather forecasts are like guessing at the coffee grounds, let’s take a look at what the signs might indicate. For centuries, our ancestors collected and passed on patterns that they noticed every day and combined them into folk signs. This helped not only to predict the weather but also to survive since planting and harvesting were subject to these signs.

Christmas weather odds 2021
Picture Source: Pixabay

According to one of the signs of farmers, they believe that if there were a lot of fog in November, then December will be snowy. Moreover, some signs depend on the weather on a particular day:

  • If December 1 is a warm day, it means that the winter will also be warm;
  • People used to say about the first week of winter: “If the snow falls before the first winter days, it melts, after – real winter comes, and if the frost on these days – all the holidays are frosty”;
  • On December 9, we need to listen to the water in the wells. If  one can hear no sounds in the water, the winter will be calm and warm, otherwise – blizzards and frosts.

Yes, the exact answer to the question: “Will there be snow at Christmas?” – is hard to get. However, remember, if you believe, then everything is possible, especially on such a magical day. The 1XBET Sportsbook is there to make your holidays even more unique and festive. Read our article on Special Betting Events for Christmas to finish this year fabulously!

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Met Office’s Prediction Sounds Disappointing

Every winter, the British look forward to a White Christmas. It was truly snowy only four times in the last half-century. Therefore, now the holiday is considered “white” if at least one snowflake falls from the sky on December 25. Over the past 54 years, snow has fallen in the UK 38 times, which is not so rare, writes The Evening Standard. But should we expect a real winter this time? Unfortunately, the Met Office thinks the odds are very slim. Meteorologist Graham Madge says snow is unlikely even in Scotland, and heavy rains could ruin the holiday instead.

“Of course, snow cover should not be ruled out somewhere in the mountainous parts of Scotland. However, the rest of the regions are more likely to rain,” added Madge. He was joined by forecaster Matthew Box but added that on the eve of Christmas, the weather will be unstable and the atmospheric front may change. Despite the forecast, bookmakers continue to accept bets on “White Christmas”. Ladbrokes’ Alex Apati says the stakes in Edinburgh and Glasgow are higher than ever. Note that snowing at Christmas in the UK is a very rare event. So, in 2009 in several cities of England snow fell for the first time in five years. As a result of which they named the holiday  “White Christmas”. Officially. It is then that the online sportsbooks in the UK started to pay out the winnings to those who bet on the arrival of snow during the holidays. 

Christmas Weather Odds 2021: What Shall We Expect? 

The original line was opened by the bookmaker 1XBET – anyone can bet on whether it will snow on Christmas in individual cities of Great Britain. Analysts offered a choice of 15 betting options in the form of various geographic points on the map of the UK, providing them with different odds. For example, on the fact that it will snow in the city of Aberdeen on Christmas, bets are accepted with a coefficient of 4.50. Meanwhile, on the fact that the residents of Manchester will see snow on a holiday, you can bet for 7.00.

Christmas weather odds 2021
Picture Source: Flickr

With odds of 13.00, the bookmaker estimated the probability of cold precipitation on a holiday in the London airport area. And the least likely of the options presented is snowfall at Christmas in the port city of Penzance, located in the South East of England – you can bet on this with a very high coefficient of 17.00. Unfortunately, the last time snow fell on Christmas was in 2004. Let’s remember that Christmas in Great Britain is celebrated on December 25th. At the same time, the bookmaker intends to accept bets on snowfall during the Christmas holiday in British cities until December 22.

According to the existing line, with a coefficient of 4.00, you can bet on several cities at once – Edinburgh, Glasgow, Aberdeen. According to bookmakers, it is in these cities that snow is most likely to fall on Christmas. Further in the line are Belfast, Liverpool, Leeds, Manchester. The fact that snow will fall in these cities is estimated with a coefficient of 6.00. Snow in Birmingham and Dublin can go for 7.00. However, the most unlikely option is that snow will be in London.

Addition: US Winter Forecast 2021

Although many parts of the country survived last winter with little or no snow, the Christmas weather odds 2021 for this winter for the northern half of the United States is expected to be lower. Colder than average, more snow fell than usual in the Northern Plains, New England, and Great Lakes regions. In New York, White Christmas odds 2021 look set to remain a dream come true this year. Indeed, the snow is coming soon. While December 25 will be cold, this will also be true with little chance of snowfall.

Christmas weather odds 2021
Picture Source: Pixabay

Minneapolis ranks first on our list with a 77 percent chance of having an inch of snow on the ground by Christmas. The city has an average snowfall of 11.5 inches in December. Meanwhile, the snowiest Christmas on record was in 1945 when the total snowfall was 9.6 inches. Unusually cold temperatures will be limited mainly to the western states and northeastern New England. Besides, snowfall will be more than usual in the northeast, Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and the High Plains, and northern Alaska. Also, below normal in most other snow-covered areas. To increase your chances of winning in the 1XBET Sportsbook read our article How to Win on Weather Betting. And let it snow!

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