American Football Betting Tips from Pros

Posted: October 10, 2021

Updated: October 10, 2021

American football is one of the most popular sporting events in the world
Professional gamblers have acquired several strategy to be on this sport
Let's look at the American football betting tips!

American football is one of the most popular sporting events in the world. Indeed, the average attendance at NFL games is around 70,000 fans, with several million more watching games on TV or the Internet. In May 2018, the US Supreme Court overturned the federal law restricting betting, and betting on American football became legal for the pioneers of this sport. According to information from open sources, the turnover of betting on the "Super Bowl" (final game) of the 2020-2021 season surpassed the $ 3.2 billion mark. In this article, we will discuss American football betting tips.

What Do We Know About American Football?

American football is a sport, where 2 teams with 11 players each try to score as many points as possible. Game actions consist of separate series in which the following combinations can be played: free kick, pass, and removal, taking the scoring area, shot on goal, and so on. Between these series, the coach makes a substitution. However, not a single player, but the entire team or several players who are assigned a specific task for the rally. For example, to take the ball out of his zone. All this takes place on a special field, which is almost 110 meters or 120 yards long and almost 50 meters or 53.3 yards wide. The duration of the game is limited to 60 minutes, which are divided into 4 periods of 15 minutes each. After the second quarter, the players do not leave for a short break. The match itself lasts 2-3 hours. Meanwhile, time stops if the ball leaves the borders of the field, an uncaught forward pass, the ball passes to the players of the other team. The coveted points can be scored by a successful pass to your player who is in the opponent's point zone, self-driving the ball into the end zone, or by kicking the ball into a special goal. This is a combination of football and rugby.

The first game took place in November 1869. Besides, already in 1880, the rules governing the course of the match appeared. Walter Camp developed these rules. Indeed, people revere and call the "Father of Football". Moreover, 30% of the American population cites the NFL as their favorite league of all sports. Online sportsbooks in the USA offer various bets. But to secure your victory read our American football betting tips.

American Football Betting Tips: Types of Bets

This sport is not in demand among domestic bettors, but bookmakers offer a wide range of odds. Thus, even the most demanding player will be able to choose a suitable market for himself:

Certain victory. To get a win, the bettor needs to correctly guess the winner of the match.
Total. Total is the whole amount of points scored by both teams. In the line, this market is designated as TM or TB. Thus, it means the total is less than a specific indicator offered by the bookmaker.
Individual total. In this case, the player needs to correctly guess the performance of a particular team. However, not the game as a whole.
Handicap. A handicap is a virtual advantage of a weak team or an artificial leg of a clear favorite by a specific number of points. Therefore, it equalizes the chances of each of the teams to win and allows you to make profitable bets in the confrontation between the underdog and the favorite at high odds.
Winning the half-game and winning the match. This combo bet is distinguished by high bookmaker quotes and high risk for the bettor. The latter must correctly predict who will be stronger after two quarters and after the final whistle.
The effective quarter. The bookmaker offers to guess the specific quarter in which both teams will earn the most points.
First foul. To make a profit, you should correctly indicate the team whose players will break the rules first.
Race to a certain number of points. The essence of this market is to determine the club that was the first to score a specific number of points indicated by the bookmaker.
Long-term bets. Many offices offer to conclude a deal in advance. The odds for such outcomes are very high.

Match Analysis

For the winning bets on American football to prevail in the history of the bettor's account, the forecasts must be verified. As in any team sport, a lot of factors influence the final result:

The current physical form of the teams. Lack of playing tone is unlikely to allow you to win even in a game with a weak opponent. Before making a bet, be sure to look at the statistics of the latest games. This will make it possible, with a high degree of probability, to assess the physical condition of the club of interest.

Motivation is the most important factor in surprising everyone, including the players on the pitch. Any bettor will easily remember several games in which a motivated outsider snatched a victory from a stronger opponent. Indeed, you can find out about the presence of an incentive from interviews with managers, coaches, and football players, as well as simply by looking at sports news.
Microclimate in the team. If the players cannot agree in the dressing room or there is no understanding between the coaching staff and the players, then there is no need to talk about 100% performance on the field and team morale.
Composition. In American football, a major role is assigned to the main quarterback. If such a footballer is injured or several other key players do not enter the field, then the opponents have an excellent chance of winning. The Bet365 Sportsbook suggests you learn about The Best American Football Players.

More Factors

Home field factor. Some bettors neglect this circumstance, which is wrong. In the championship, teams play 8 matches at the home arena and the same number of games are played away. Several clubs are consistently gaining points at home, and some are "gnawing" the opportunity to fight in the playoffs in foreign cities. Moreover, each stadium has its peculiarities. Do not forget about the fans who can drive the team forward with their support or, in chamber silence, bring their favorite team to the next defeat.
Personal meetings statistics. By studying statistical information, you can identify uncomfortable opponents for a particular team, who regularly take points and cause a lot of trouble.
Weather. In positive sports forecasting, one cannot do without taking into account the weather factor. In the rain, the effectiveness of the meeting is low, since the advantage in technicality and the speed of the game are reduced. Online sportsbooks in the USA are among the Best Sites to Bet on American Football. Hurry up and check them out!

American Football Betting Tips: Effective Strategies

There is nothing to do without an effective betting strategy. Even with a prohibitively developed sixth sense, it will not be difficult to drain the game bank in a few days. Let’s look at Miller's algorithm! The founder of this strategy is R. J. Miller who has made money on deals with a bookmaker for 20 years. The essence of this algorithm lies in the trivial calculation of the points scored in previous meetings. At the same time, he has been working for a long time and gives out about 60% of successful bets at a distance, which, with a large bankroll, will make it possible to make good money.

First, the bettor needs to choose the match of interest. Besides, one needs to get access to the results of the last 4 games of each club. After that, you must first calculate the rating of the opponents' attack. This is done as follows:
From the points earned by one team, only the average values (not the highest and not the lowest) are taken and divided in half.
From the points scored by another team, the same average values are taken, summed up, and divided by 2.

After that, the protection rating should be found similarly. Then you need to predict the match. Adding two ratings and subtracting the number 20 from the total (this is the average points all teams score per game), you can get the expected number for the 1st team. Adding the attack rating to the defense rating and subtracting 20 from the total gives the expected points of the 2nd team. By adding to this strategy an analysis of the players' current form, studying the depth of the reserve squad, and other important factors, you can count on a decent win.

Strategy Against The Favorite

Indeed, most bettors prefer to make deals to win the favorite. At the same time, few players notice that bookmakers give a large positive spread for the underdog. With a competent approach to the analysis of the upcoming meeting, it will not be difficult to identify an outsider who can win the match with a positive handicap. Use this and other 10 Smart Hints on How to Win Football Bets in the Bet365 Sportsbook. Good luck!