Less than 24 hours after the US midterms the first big shakeup of the Trump Cabinet came out. Former Attorney General Jeff Sessions resigned at Trump’s request. Sessions’ chief of staff Whitaker was appointed as his replacement. Whitaker who accused Robert Mueller for taking the Russia investigation “too far” is now Mueller’s supervisor.
Robert Mueller faces difficult position and his investigation looks a lot more uncertain. Betting on the Mueller probe to close and betting on Mueller to be removed before December 31 is now available. According to our analysis Mueller will be fired if he goes after Trump Jr. If Mueller decides not to do that, Trump will keep the Russia investigation going to contain the criticism from the US public.
Mueller will be Removed if going after Trump Jr.
According to New York Times, Whitaker, a former US attorney from Iowa, is the White House’s “eyes and ears” in the Justice Department. He is not expected to recuse himself from Mueller’s investigation as his predecessor. That will put him in a position to replace the deputy Rosenstein as Mueller’s immediate supervisor. The million-dollar question is whether or not, Whitaker will take President’s advice and will get rid of the special counsel.
The Russia scandal may be linked to Trump’s attempt to make the White House a family acquisition. Mueller may also go after Trump Jr. for his meeting with Russian operatives in June 2016. If Mueller decides to do that, Whitaker will most certainly get rid of him, with odds at 3.50, according to Unibet Sportsbook.
Firing Mueller Constitutes Obstruction of Justice
According to online sportsbook news in the US, firing Mueller might constitute obstruction of justice by Trump. That will generate a lot of criticism and will put more pressure on President Trump. Therefore, Trump might decide not to take such dangerous move and keep the Mueller probe going. You can bet on that with odds at 1.25, and you can bet on the Mueller probe not to close this year with odds at 1.10, according to Unibet Sportsbook.
One last point to keep in mind when betting on the Mueller probe is that, Trump getting rid of Mueller, will not necessarily end the investigation. Even if Mueller is fired, the FBI and many state prosecutors will keep their investigation going. In 1970s, President Nixon tried to do the same thing on the Watergate scandal and that did not work out.