Can Murray Find Reserves to Beat Federer: Fresh ATP World Tour Finals Betting Odds

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ATP World Tour Finals Group B has Roger Federer v Andy Murray match in store for punters at online bookies.

Today’s second match in Group B at the ATP World Tour Finals will be held between Roger Federer and the local crowd favorite Andy Murray. Naturally the bookies under British gambling laws have already opened wagering on the match, and there will also be live betting available when the fixture gets under way at the O2.

It’s no secret that Roger Federer needs to go all the way and become an undefeated champion in order to stand a chance at beating Novak Djokovic to the year-end title. However, the odds of that happening for those who bet on sports in the UK are quite low, considering that Novak mustn’t win anymore and he’s in too good of a form not to do so.

Previous matches

ATP World Tour Finals Group B will see the last round robin match between Federer and Murray

Online sportsbooks in the UK favor Federer to win

• Murray needs to win in order to have a chance at qualifying for the semis

• Andy hasn’t beaten Roger on hard surface since 2008

Federer has already racked up two wins in London, and needs just a small step to make it into the semis. However, he can still miss out, considering the situation in the group, but that scenario is highly unlikely, and shouldn’t really be considered when betting at online sportsbooks in the United Kingdom.

Yesterday, Djokovic confirmed his status as the favorite, beating Wawrinka in straights 6-3, 6-0. In a fine form, Novak made it to eight consecutive straight sets at the ATP World Tour Finals. He is well on course to win his third consecutive title and fourth overall. The only man who can stop him is of course Roger Federer, looking to win his record 7th crown.

In the other match yesterday, weak Marin Cilic conceded in straight sets to Tomas Berdych, 3-6, 1-6, but surprisingly still keeps the chances to qualify. The situation in both groups is similar all 8 players are still with a shot at the semi-finals, and only the last matchdays in round robin will deliver the answer to who’s making up the pairs in the semis.

Federer v Murray trivia

Tonight’s game will be the 23rd time Roger faces Andy, they are now tied at 11-11, adding more spice to this fixture. As far as 2014 goes, the pair only met twice, and Federer took both matches in Melbourne and Cincy. Roger has also been stronger than Andy on three occasions at the ATP Finals.

Adding to the fire is the fact that Murray hasn’t beaten Federer on hard since 2008, and considering that Andy’s performance in two matches up to today was far from his best, there’s little chance of him beating the Swiss tonight. However, he needs to win in order to qualify, and that might motivate him stronger.

Federer on the other hand had comfortable wins over Raonic and Nishikori, but still hasn’t revealed his best form. If he was to go all the way and defeat Djokovic on Sunday, he surely needs to improve, and improve a lot.

Additionally the process of this match will certainly depend on the earlier fixture between Nishikori and Raonic, providing Andy and Roger with information on what they need to do in order to qualify. In any case it’s more likely that Andy will need to win and win quite well in order to book a place in the semis, and that will be very hard against Roger.

There’s a possibility that this particular match will go into three sets, but there still hasn’t been a 3-setter this year in London, and the matches between this pair rarely go to deciding sets, with a victor collecting a comfortable win usually.

Roger Federer v Andy Murray betting odds

No surprise to see that online bookies are favoring Roger Federer to win tonight, considering his better than Murray’s form and general statistics on hard surface. Bet365 will provide a 1.44 for Roger’s win, while Andy Murray had to settle for longer odds of 2.75. Once again outright betting doesn’t bring much value here, but some other wagering markets do.

Checking out the first set correct score odds, we’ll find that in case Roger wins the first with 6-2 the payout will be 12.00, a pretty smart wager to make at this point. His 6-4 success pays at 5.00, and the win on tie break delivers a 5.50 payout. However, should Federer take the first set 6-0, punters can collect winnings at 101.00.

In case Andy Murray wins the first set with 6-4, the payout will only be 8.00, but his 6-2 success will provide a 26.00 payout, and there’s a line of 7.00 on his 7-6 win. In an unlikely event Andy somehow manages to win the first set 6-0, Bet365 will be shelling out winnings at 201.00.

Double result odds are also quite attractive. Starting with Roger winning both the first set and the match at 1.66 odds to the same prospect for Andy paying at 3.50. But the real value is given to probability where Federer wins the first set, but goes on to lose the match – the payout here is 9.00. And Bet365 is giving 6.50 for the same outcome concerning Andy Murray.

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