It’s Election Day in Hungary this Sunday (8 April) and that means that all Hungarian political news sites are extremely excited about the results.
Who will rule Hungary in the next four years? Will Fidesz stay in power and continue drifting Hungary away from the European Union and towards Putin’s back, or will there be a change of system? What will be the new Prime Minister’s name if there wil be a new one in the first place? Check out what Hungarian political news sites expect and bet on Hungarian politics at Unibet Sportsbook!
Explaining the Hungarian electoral system
The Hungarian electoral system is the number one reason why all political think tanks and online sportsbook news sites in Hungary expect Fidesz to win the elections. The country is divided into 106 constituencies and each of those gives a parliamentary seat. Another 93 mandates are given away from the national party list and that’s how the 199 parliamentary seats are elected.
As you can see, the majority of the mandates is decided in the constituencies. What’s more interesting is the fact that it’s a one-round election so a relative majority is enough for a mandate – that’s how Fidesz won 67% of the parliamentary seats in 2014 even though only 43.55% voted for them.
The bookies believe Fidesz will stay in power…
As you can see from Hungarian political betting odds, online sportsbook sites in Hungary believe that the country will continue to be dominated by Fidesz. The odds for Viktor Orbán to stay on as Prime Minister for another 4 years are 1.02 at Unibet Sportsbook. Those Hungarian political betting odds are pretty low and kinda sums up what Hungarian political news expect from the results.
And that’s not all. You can also join Hungarian political betting sites and predict the parliamentary seats. If you think Fidesz will gain at least 2/3 of the mandates and will be the sole ruler of Hungary once again after 2010 and 2014, you can bet on Fidesz to win at least 133 seats for 4.50 odds. 1.08 if they win less than 133 seats so that’s a much more likely event, according to odds to bet on politics in Hungary!
Which party could beat Fidesz at Hungarian election Day 2018?
You can check sites in the online sportsbook directory and see the odds to bet on next Hungarian Prime Minister. The biggest favourite to beat Orbán is Jobbik President Gábor Vona with 7.50 odds at Unibet Sportsbook. Progressive leftist candidates like Bernadett Szél and Gergely Karácsony both have 11.00 odds to be the next Hungarian Prime Minister as of 8 April.
You can bet on former PM Ferenc Gyurcsány to win the position again – his odds are 15.00, but you can also pick “any other” for 15.00. That could actually be a good pick! Hungarian political news are already asking questions: what if Fidesz loses majority? Who would govern then? The far right should join a coalition with the liberals and the socialists. That would be the end of the world.
Both Jobbik President Gábor Vona and MSZP candidate Gergely Karácsony commented on this outcome. If Fidesz will lose majority and all opposing parties will fail to gain the majority of the parliamentary seats, none of them will lead the overall coalition. In that case, they would elect a prime minister who would be an acceptable person to all parties, in which case, the “Any other” would be the winning Hungarian political betting pick.
Bet on voters’ turnout!
It is an accepted fact at Hungarian political news sites that Fidesz has a votes base of around 2 million people. They don’t call new people to vote for them but they have had a strong base at every election ever since 1998. Which means that the less people come to vote, the better results Fidesz will gain because their voters will definitely come and vote.
Luckily, if you check out the odds to bet on politics in Hungary, you can see that you can bet on turnout as well. Above 70% has 2.00 odds. It only happened in 2002 and 2006, apart from these 2 elections, it was always below 70. Will Hungarian people decide its time to go democratic this year, or will more than 30% of the country fail to vote again? Check out the latest review about Unibet Sportsbook and bet on Hungarian politics until Sunday night!