Politics

Is Ted Cruz at Serious Risk of Losing His Senate Race?

At the midterms 2018 there is a real competitive senate race, Beto O’Rourke is challenging a high-profile Republican in a conservative state for his Senate seat – and according to the midterm 2018 odds, he just might have a chance.

Texas midterm odds
Who will win the race in Texas is still under question, as November 6 approaches

To be elected to the Senate after the election

#CandidateOdds
1.Ted Cruz1.40
2.Beto O’Rourke2.75
Bet at Unibet Sportsbook!

Republicans Panic

2018 midterm election winner might be Democrat in Texas…

For years, Democrats dream of victory in Texas. It’s been 30 years Texas remains deep red state with a very conservative mindset. But this time something has changed, 2018 midterm election winner might be Democrat in Texas. O’Rourke, a Democrat willing to unseat an incumbent Republican senator, has performed shockingly well. Ted Cruz was elected to the U.S. Senate in 2012 and he won by 16% margin.

Current polls give significant decline in the support for Cruz. According, to analysis from FiveThirtyEight.com, Sen. Ted Cruz maintains a 3.8% advantage over Democratic Beto O’Rourke in the 2018 Texas Senate race, polls by Emerson College suggest only 1% advantage of Sen. Cruz and NBC News only 4%.

Facts about the United States Midterm Elections

  • Date: November 6, 2018
  • Contested:
    • 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives
    • 35 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate

Cruz as well as whole Republican Party is worried about the possibility of losing midterm 2018 in Texas. Having the idea that midterm 2018 predictions give O’Rourke actual chance of winning, Cruz personally begged President Donald Trump to campaign on his behalf and visit Texas.

Beto O'Rourke
O’Rourke has some serious advantages (source: Flickr, Beto O’Rourke for U.S. Congress)

Blue Wave – Beto O’Rourke Winning Odds

According to RealClear Politics midterm 2018 predictions, Ted Cruz has a comfortable 4.5% advantage. However Beto O’Rourke is keeping race close, especially when 20% of the electorate is still undecided. This gives a space for maneuver for the ones interested in political gambling.  And it’s not just polls, online sportsbook sites in the UK revealed odds they are giving to Beto O’Rourke and it’s around 2.75, whereas Ted Cruz has 1.40  probability of winning.

Ted Cruz
Ted Cruz by Gage Skidmore @Flickr

Who will win the race in Texas is still under question, as November 6 approaches, gap between the two candidates narrows. O’Rourke has his advantages: really good campaign run, likeability of the candidate, his bipartisan tendencies (having good relations with Republican Senators), changing demographics and new registered voters.

Not so strong campaign of Ted Cruz, who obviously has campaign fatigue and is more concentrated on Senate, is not playing well for his possible reelection. Additionally he faces likeability problems in the national audience and his last hope, President Trump, approval rating in Texas does not exceed 35%.

All the above mentioned is highly discussed on online sportsbook news sites in the UK and different odds are offered for midterm 2018 betting. Texas has been republican for so long, however experts suggest that voting turnout will be everything, and it might even change what Texas looks like.

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