Politics

A Four-Way Race is Upfront As 2020 Iowa Democratic Caucus Betting Odds Indicate

  • Former Vice President Biden lost his huge lead nationwide
  • Sen. Warren is successful in addressing people’s concerns
  • Sen. Sanders nearly won Iowa against Hillary Clinton in 2016
  • Mayor Buttigieg considerably surged in the polls
2020 Iowa Democratic Caucus Betting Odds
Image source: This version: uploaderBase versions this one is derived from: originally created by en:User:Wapcaplet / CC BY-SA via Wikimedia Commons

Iowan Democrats will be, as they have been for decades, the first Americans in the country to indicate their preferred presidential nominee. They are expected to cast their votes on February 03, 2020. Among the frontrunners Biden, Warren, Sanders, and Buttigieg are tied up as 2020 Iowa Democratic Caucus betting odds indicate.

The state of Iowa is one of the first battlegrounds on the road to elect a Democratic presidential nominee. As online sportsbook news sites in the US reported, six of the past eight Democratic presidential nominees won in Iowa. University of Iowa political science professor Timothy Hagle told FortuneIowa is not first because it is important, but it is important because it is first.”

Our analysis of the 2020 Iowa Democratic caucus betting odds focuses on four top candidates including Biden, Warren, Sanders, and Buttigieg. No single one of them has a decisive advantage. That for sure makes betting on who will be the ultimate winner in Iowa really exciting.

Recent Polls

The Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom poll recently indicated that Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Ind. climbed to 25%, with a 16% boost since September. Behind Buttigieg, there is a close three-way race led by Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 16%. Besides, former Vice President Joe Biden and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders are each at 15%.

These numbers predict a big change from the former polls, where the top four spots have been in constant flux. In November, the New York Times/Siena College poll showed that Ms. Warren was leading with 22%, Sanders in second place with 19%, Buttigieg third with 18%, and Biden at 17%. Yet, Suffolk/USA Today poll indicated last October that Biden was ahead with 18%, Warren at 17%, Buttigieg at 13%, and Sanders 9%.

Biden lost his huge lead nationwide

The former Vice President Joe Biden has had a rough campaign so far. He is facing a big challenge to clear up the Ukraine scandal, despite that he and his son may not have done anything illegal in Ukraine. The other challenge on the way is his endless gaffes, which made many spectators feel that he started losing it. Biden has gone from holding a huge lead to being in a tight contest with his rivals nationwide.

However, the 77-year-old has a plan to turn things around in Iowa. He is traveling from small town to small town with a pitch that the US needs to return to old-fashioned values. His campaign targets the state’s older, moderate and rural voters. In addition, Biden hopes to sway in many voters who are still undecided. Will he succeed in his quest? It remains to be seen with +500 odds at 22BET Sportsbook.

Warren hopes to go from a possible to real Democratic nominee

Sen. Elizabeth Warren is campaigning hard in Iowa as of right now. She hopes to go from being a possibility to being a reality for the Democratic Party. She is campaigning rough in rural, conservative western Iowa. This is where Donald Trump blew out Hillary Clinton by 20 points. Iowans are fed up with trade wars, big oil, and a broken Medicaid system that is not providing enough nursing homes. In the meantime, Warren was successful in addressing all people’s concerns so far in her speeches. Her chances to win in Iowa are so strong with +400 odds at 22BET.

Sanders nearly won Iowa in 2016

Bernie Sanders nearly won Iowa against Hillary Clinton in 2016. This time he is campaigning with the same thoughts and ideas. Although his thoughts were considered radical in the past, many of his rivals have embraced them now such as widening access to public health insurance. Sanders is doing well among liberals, urban and younger Iowans. Thus, there is a big hope for him to do better than what polls show.

2020 Iowa Democratic Caucus Betting Odds
Bernie Sanders – Image source: Flickr

One of Sanders’s strengths is the endorsement by two members of the squad Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ilhan Omar. The other key-strength is having the largest support by individuals and activists who are much more organized than many of Sanders’s rivals. Therefore, despite the polls, Sanders might make a huge upset to the 2020 Iowa Democratic caucus betting odds with a value of +200.

Buttigieg  should be taken very seriously

The biggest surprise as for now is the openly gay mayor of South Bend, Indiana, Pete Buttigieg. He is less than half of the age of Biden and Sanders. Yet, he leads with +175 odds at online sportsbooks in the US. He is also surging considerably in the polls. Thus, he should be taken very seriously. Him being ahead in the polls comes after heavy investment of time and money in Iowa. Should he win it will not be out of the blue, rather it will be due to his on-the-ground operations in the state, which is the largest among his rivals.

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