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The Welsh Tories have been gaining strength recently, with a rapid change of the nation’s political map. Thus, they might make a huge upset in the next election. Should you place a bet on Welsh Assembly elections 2021, consider seriously picking the Tories.
The next Welsh Assembly election is due to take place on May 6, 2021. It will be the sixth election since the Assembly was established in 1999. 60 members will be elected, with at least 31 seats needed for a single party to rule the Welsh government.
Online gambling sites in the United Kingdom suggest the next election will bring a massive political change to Wales. The expectations cite two possible scenarios. Either the Tories, Labour, and Plaid will win a similar number of seats, or the Tories will take over the long dominating Labour. Each possible scenario will be widely influenced by 16 and 17-year-old voters who have been granted voting rights in 2019 as per BBC.
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The Tories lead the polling figures
Many analysts at online sportsbook news in the United Kingdom claim the Welsh Tories are on the rise and might make a huge upset in the next election. It goes in line with the latest polling figures. According to the first Welsh political barometer of 2020, 35% of the people will likely vote for Tories, while Labour will get 33% of the votes. Besides, Plaid Cymru will likely win 19% and Liberal Democrats 5%. Should that actually happen, bet on Welsh Assembly elections 2021 to be won by Tories with a value of 3/2 at 22BET Sportsbook.
Labour has been losing ground for years
The Labour Party has been dominating Wales for a very long time. Since 1999, Labour has always been the largest party in the chamber. Besides, since 1922, Labour has been winning most votes in Wales at every UK general election. In December 2019, Labour has retained most seats, but it lost six seats to the Tories in key areas. Besides, in the 2016 Welsh Assembly election, Labour lost one seat. If Labour continues to lose ground the next election results might be disastrous for the party.
Despite that, the next Welsh Assembly election odds show Labour (5/4) remaining the favorite to win most seats, the future looks a bit gloomy. Many think the echos of Brexit and the weakness of the party leadership will likely play a strong role.
Plaid Cymru might steal some seats
Another poll (the annual St. David’s Day poll) conducted in March suggests three parties could win similar numbers of seats. Labour might get 21, Tories 20, and most interestingly Plaid Cymru might go all the way and win 18 seats. This projection shows that another shocking upset might take place where Plaid has a chance with 7/2 odds to win most seats. The political map will probably not flip in such an extreme way, but Plaid might steal some seats from the top two rivals.