DC Statehood Betting Odds Indicate the Bill is Unlikely to Pass

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Posted: April 20, 2021

Updated: April 22, 2021

  • The bill needs 60 votes in the Senate to pass
  • Republicans are against it because it will give power to Democrats
  • It aims to give equal citizenship rights for D.C. residents
The full House of Representatives in the United States will vote on Thursday, 22 April to make the District of Columbia a state. This is the second year in a row for the House to vote on the D.C. statehood bill. Will the bill codified H.R. 51 pass this time? According to the DC statehood betting odds, it will likely not.

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The Majority leader Steny H. Hoyer tweeted: “I expect to bring #HR51 to the House Floor for a vote on Thursday, April 22 to grant #DCStatehood to the more than 700,000 residents of the District of Columbia”. This decision comes just after the bill was lately approved by the House Oversight and Reform Committee, as per People. As online sportsbook news sites in the United States reported, this is a longstanding issue that dates back to the 1980s. The aim of making D.C. the nation’s 51st state is arguably based on demands to give equal citizenship rights for D.C. residents. Therefore, currently, some 86 percent of local voters back the referendum to make D.C. the 51st state. However, at the national level, there is much divide. In January, Harris/Hill poll showed 52 percent of respondents favoring statehood while 48 percent opposed it. So, what will likely happen, according to DC Statehood betting odds, and why will the majority be with or against the bill?
DC Statehood betting odds
Only time can decide how will the Senate vote - Image source: Flickr

It is all about the Senate again

Last year the bill got a historic vote in the House. However, it failed to pass in the Senate, which was then under Republican control. This year Democrats hold the tie-breaking vote in a split Senate.  They are the proponents of the bill as Majority Leader Charles E. Schumer confirmed to the Washington Post. So far it has the support of 45 Democrats - the most cosponsors ever. Whereas, the Republicans will most probably uniformly oppose the bill again because it would probably add two Democrats to the Senate. As House Rep. James Comer of Kentucky wrote recently at RCP summing up Republicans' fear, “H.R. 51 is all about consolidating Democrats’ power in Washington.”

What DC Statehood betting odds project

For the bill to pass in the Senate 60 votes are needed. In other words, 10 Republicans need to cross the aisle and join the Democrats, if Democrats are all in support of the bill. Since only 45 votes are guaranteed so far, the DC statehood betting odds suggest it will likely fail in the Senate. The value is 1.05 at 22BET Sportsbook. While for the bill to pass, which is extremely unlikely, the value is 10.

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