Gavin Newsom Counts On His California Recall Election Odds

  • Newsom Misses Deadline To Certify He Is A Democrat
  • Find All The California Recall Election Odds At Bovada
  • Recall Elections Rarely A Successful Bet On US Politics
California Recall Election Odds
Gavin Newsom in ’19 – Image source: Flickr

You probably couldn’t make it up. Facing a recall election, on the 14th of September, you’d think Gavin Newsom would be focused. Keeping his eye on the ball. Not letting the California recall election odds go to his head. Instead this week a court had to decide if he is a democrat or not. Or, at least, if he can state he’s one on the ballot. Turns out, he can’t. Classic. So whilst online betting sites in the US like Bovada still give Newsom short prices, the Democrats just lost the election.  

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We all make mistakes. Humanity is like that. However whilst some of us confine our errors to the odd embarrassing social faux pas, some go the whole hog. Take Gavin Newsom. No, seriously. Take him. Most politician have to put in effort to look quite this inept, Gavin does it naturally. Despite the California recall election odds favoring him keeping his job, he won’t get to call himself a Democrat on the ballot. Why not? Because he made an “inadvertent but good faith mistake.”

We’ll leave aside that all mistakes are inadvertent or they’re not actually mistakes. If you start analyzing what politicians say, the California recall election odds will be the least of your issues. Turns out when filling out the paperwork Newsom’s office made an oversight and didn’t state he was a Democrat. Doh. Now anyone in the US gambling laws concerning elections aren’t a bit of a hot potato right now hasn’t paid attention. So when he asked to correct the error, he couldn’t.     

California Recall Election Odds Still Favor Gavin Newsom

California Democrats couldn’t look the other way whilst he technically broke the rules. Not in the current climate. So they said no, and Gavin Newsom did what Americans always do when they don’t get their way. He sued them. Unfortunately, for Gavin, this week the judge sided with the state. So, he can’t place Democrat next to his name on the ballot. Given the California recall election odds at Bovada etc that might not matter. He’s still ahead. It just doesn’t look very good.

California Recall Election Odds 

  • Tom Steyer – 50/1
  • Kevin Faulconer – 50/1
  • Richard Grenell – 50/1
  • Eleni Kounalakis – 33/1
  • Antonio Villaraigosa – 14/1
  • Caitlyn Jenner – 8/1
  • Gavin Newsom – 1/15 
  • See more stats at Bovada…

So, whilst the California recall election odds on Gavin Newsom at online sportsbook sites in the US like Bovada are still great, the odds on the Democrats aren’t. Indeed if you have bet on the Democrats to win in September some could argue they didn’t. Even if they do. You can certainly bet on the Republicans to make hay with this. By the end of the week they’ll claim he’s trying to hide his left-wing socialist allegiance to George Soros. Of course, that’s just sour grapes really. 

California Recall Election Odds
Gavin is the absolute shoo-in according to the betting odds – Image source: Flickr

Bet On The California Recall Election At Bovada

The odds on the Republicans actually recalling Newsom are lengthy. Just look at the record of such attempts. Fifty-four tries and only one success, and that was because the alternative was a celebrity. Arnold Schwarzenegger. This time the Republicans are running Caitlyn Jenner who, even on a good day, barely gets 8/1 in the California recall election odds at sites like Bovada. Caitlyn has said she’ll run in 2022 if Newsom wins. The GOP may have other ideas on that one. 

“It is what it is.”

  • Gavin Newsom 

They are replete with choices. Much as the California recall election odds tend to focus on those with an actual chance, there are 60 candidates. Yes, you read that right, sixty people are vying for this job. For those used to putting a bet on sports in the US at Bovada that’s quite the field. It also means you won’t see a concentrated opposing vote. Caitlyn is just a single crazy amongst a whole plethora of them, whatever party is next to her name. Just a pity now so is Independent Gavin Newsom.         

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We take a look at the California recall election odds as Gavin Newsom discovers he can’t call himself a Democrat on the ballot.

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