Image source: David Spender – Flickr
The odds on the Liberal Democrats to win the UK general election aren’t exactly stellar. As the only ‘remain’ party of note outside Scotland they should pick up plenty of votes from those who oppose Brexit, but will that be enough to make them a good bet on politics in the UK? Jo Swinson certainly thinks so, and believes she can be the next Prime Minister, even if the bookies like Bet365, one of the best online sportsbook sites in the UK, don’t necessarily agree with her.
“I never thought I’d stand here and say that I’m a candidate to be Prime Minister.” Said Lib Dem leader Jo Swinson echoing the thoughts of many watching her launch their election campaign. “But when I look at Boris Johnson and Jeremy Corbyn, I am absolutely certain I could do a better job than either of them.” Which is arguably true, but only because they are an absolutely useless pair of politicians, there are dead ferrets that could do better than them, but that doesn’t mean the odds on the Liberal Democrats to win the UK general election are wrong.
- Lib Dem Minority – 66/1
- Con+Lib Dem – 33/1
- Lab Majority – 28/1
- Lab+SNP – 25/1
- Lab+Lib Dem – 25/1
- Lab+Lib Dem+SNP – 20/1
- Con+Brexit Party – 10/1
- Con Minority – 6/1
- Lab Minority – 11/2
- Hung Parliament – 6/4
- Con Majority – 8/15
The odds on the Liberal Democrats to win the UK general election sit at around 66/1, the price you’ll get on a Lib Dem minority government. This might be a lot shorter, say Jo Swinson’s critics if the party weren’t committed to revoking Article 50 and simply ignoring the referendum vote that took Britain out of the EU. Anyone in the UK gambling laws of common sense left on the same train as moderate members of parliament should think again, Swinson hasn’t a hope.
Common sense would have Jo realize that whilst her party has no hope of making it into government on its own, as part of a coalition it could well tip the balance and get rid of the current Conservatives. Unfortunately, Jo Swinson is standing by her claim that she can be the next Prime Minister, possibly still scarred from the last time the Lib Dems entered into a coalition and watched a major plank of the manifesto (tuition fees) torched by their Conservative partners.
Of course, reality will eventually sink in. The polls will close and she’ll no longer have to keep up the charade and just may, at that point, be in a position to band together with the SNP, Greens, Plaid Cymru and possibly even the Labour Party to form an alliance against Boris Johnson.
More on the chance of Liberal Democrats to win the UK General Election:
Sadly those who like to bet on sports in the UK will tell you this is as likely as Norwich City winning the EPL, as to get that team off the ground someone would have to compromise their principles.
Odds On The Lib Dems To Win The UK General election 50/1
The odds on Jo Swinson being the next Prime Minister then are possibly not all that tempting, even at the 20/1 price Bet365 are offering. Whether that is because her bet on Brexit being revoked as a surefire winner at the ballot box is too extreme (can you really ignore 17 million people?) or because the odds on the Liberal Democrats winning the UK general election take into account just how damaged they still are as a party after coalition with the Tories is debatable.
UK General Election 2019
- Date – December 12th 2019
- Eligible Voters – 45,775,800
- Seats – 650
- System – First Past The Post
- Cost – £140m+ (2015)
With less than a month until polling day, however, there’s no time to have that debate and in a massively divided Britain the party has positioned itself in the Remain camp, rejecting Brexiteers and insisting they know best. They just might, but the bookies like Bet365, currently one of the best online betting sites in the UK, doesn’t seem to think so which is why the odds on the Liberal Democrats to win the UK general election aren’t as important as their coalition odds.