Dortmund vs PSV Champions League Round of 16 Betting Preview


Posted: March 5, 2024

Updated: March 5, 2024

Dortmund host PSV in the second leg of the Round of 16. The fixture is set to be one of the most exciting ties with plenty of action and one of the most anticipated results. To learn more about the fixture, we take a look at the form of both teams, the recent results, the most popular sports betting markets and much more. If you are interested in learning more about the upcoming UEFA Champions League second leg of the Round of 16, continue reading.

The second leg of the Round of 16 is almost upon us, with Dortmund facing PSV in one of the most exciting fixtures. The game is set to kick off on Wednesday the 13th of March at 20:00 GMT at Signal Iduna Park. Continue reading to learn more about the match in our Dortmund vs PSV Champions League Round of 16 Betting Preview.

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An Introduction to our Dortmund vs PSV Champions League Round of 16 Betting Preview

Going into the fixture, Dortmund are seen as the favorites to advance through to the quarterfinals of the competition. However, they will certainly have their work cut out for them, as a second-half equalizer from PSV has left them at all square at 1:1. The first leg ended as a 1-1 draw in the Netherlands, with Luuk de Jong scoring a 56th-minute equalizing penalty.

Before reviewing the most popular betting markets for the UEFA Champions League match, it may be worthwhile checking out both teams’ forms, recent matches, and other useful tidbits of information. Dortmund may be the bookie’s favorite to win the match, but advancing to the next round is an entirely different scenario. Keep reading as we look at the recent form of both teams before analyzing their head-to-head records.

Dortmund Form

Going into the second leg, Dortmund will feel hard done by for not having an advantage. They took the lead at the Philips Stadion in Eindhoven through a strike from Donyell Malen. Funnily enough, Malen joined Dortmund from PSV on a €30 million transfer in July 2021. His goal was not celebrated against his former club but has helped the Bundesliga team something to build upon in the second leg of the tie.

Dortmund were drawn in Group F, also known as the “Group of Death”. The teams they were up against included PSG, Milan and Newcastle. However, perhaps surprising to all, Dortmund managed to qualify from their group in top spot. The German team had three wins from six, with two draws and a single loss. When analyzing the form of the German team, Dortmund were the better team on the pitch. Their European season includes:

  • PSG vs Dortmund – 2:0 Loss
  • Dortmund vs Milan – 0:0Draw
  • Newcastle vs Dortmund – 0:1 Win
  • Dortmund vs Newcastle – 2:0 Win
  • Milan vs Dortmund – 1:3 Win
  • Dortmund vs PSG – 1:1 Draw
  • PSV vs Dortmund – 1:1Draw

In all competitions, Dortmund has been impressive since the start of 2024. Their recent form in all comps is:

  • Heidenheim vs Dortmund – 0:0Draw
  • Dortmund vs Freiburg – 3:0 Win
  • Wolfsburg vs Dortmund – 1:1Draw
  • PSV vs Dortmund – 1:1Draw
  • Dortmund vs Hoffenheim – 2:3Loss

PSV Form

Much like Dortmund, PSV has also been impressive this season. The second-half equalizer against the German team has displayed just why PSV is a team that should never be underestimated, not even in the UEFA Champions League. Despite not having the pulling power of most big clubs, PSV is still one of the most consistent teams represented in European football.

During the group stage, PSV was drawn with the likes of Arsenal, Sevilla and Lens. The team managed to win two of their six group-stage matches, drawing three times and losing only once. They were so impressive, they finished second in the group, behind the big Gunners. This means PSV qualified above the likes of French side Lens and more impressively over Europa League champions, Sevilla. The form of PSV in Europe this season includes:

  • Arsenal vs PSV – 4:0Loss
  • PSV vs Sevilla – 2:2Draw
  • PSV vs Lens – 1:0 Win
  • Lens vs PSV – 1:1Draw
  • Sevilla vs PSV – 2:3Win
  • PSV vs Arsenal – 1:1Draw
  • PSV vs Dortmund – 1:1Draw

In all competitions, PSV has also been impressive. Their form in all comps is:

  • PSV vs Almere City – 2:0 Win
  • Ajax vs PSV – 1:1Draw
  • Volendam vs PSV – 1:5 Win
  • PSV vs Dortmund Heracles – 2:0 Win
  • Zwolle vs PSV – 1:7Win

Head to Head

Below, we review the head to head record of matches played between the two clubs.

  • PSV drew Dortmund 1:1 in the Netherlands this season
  • PSV and Dortmund have never faced each other in competitive European football before
  • Dortmund goal scorer was Malen, a former academy player at PSV
  • PSV scored a goal from the spot kick through Luuk de Jong, who was at Barcelona last season
  • PSV are top of the Eredivisie leading it by ten points

Dortmund on the Hunt for European Glory?

When watching Dortmund this season, there is little evidence to suggest they are a team that can go all the way in Europe. In fact, the team were stronger last season, as they had the likes of Jude Bellingham in their midfield. However, Bellingham is now scoring for fun at La Liga side Real Madrid, while Dortmund are in a re-building process. Perhaps most notably, Dortmund did well to reintroduce the likes of Marco Reus back into the side, pairing up with former teammate Jadon Sancho, who left Manchester United in January to join Dortmund on loan.

Dortmund are currently fourth in the Bundesliga, having won 11 out of 23 games. They have drawn eight times and lost four times. Rather than setting their sights on the third place, which is held by Stuttgart by a six point difference, Dortmund need to look behind them. They are being chased by Leipzig in fifth, who are a single point behind them with the same number of games played.

One of the best stories to come out of Dortmund this season was regarding one of their players. Sebastien Haller, who previously battled and won against cancer, went to the Afcon Tournament and brought success to his home country, Ivory Coast. In fact, he even scored the winning goal in the final. Dortmund will be hoping that Haller, alongside the likes of Malen, Adeyemi, Sancho and Reus, will be good enough to secure a win against PSV in the second leg. This would send Edin Terzic’s side through to the quarterfinals of the competition.

PSV to Cause an Upset?

While Dortmund are playing in a tougher league, the truth remains that they are in a battle for fourth. PSV, on the other hand, are a team that are fighting for a title. That is to say, they have all but guaranteed the title, leading the race by ten points.

Impressively, PSV have won 21 of their 23 games so far, drawing twice. They are one of the only teams in Europe, alongside Bundesliga side Bayer Leverkusen, to remain unbeaten in the league this season. If they can go all the way, they too might have a team of Invincibles, just like the Arsenal side all those years ago.

PSV are full of talented players, including young up-and-coming footballers and more seasoned veterans. The likes of Hirving Lozano, Luuk de Jong, Noa Lang and Sergino Dest are all top players in the squad. Moreover, the team has many young players who are making an impression in the Dutch Eredivisie. It remains to be seen whether they can clinch victory in Germany, but doing so would make them the first Dutch team since Ajax to reach the quarterfinals of the UEFA Champions League.

Remember, Ajax made it to the semifinals in the 2018/19 season, only to lose the second leg in the dying moments against Tottenham Hotspurs, who went to the final and lost to Liverpool. Many argue that if that young Ajax side had reached the final, Liverpool would not have won it.

Dortmund vs PSV Champions League Round of 16 Betting Preview

According to online sportsbook news in the UK, Dortmund is seen as the favorite to win the tie. This does not necessarily mean that they will win it, but their odds of doing so are lower than the odds of an unlikely PSV away win.

There are plenty of betting sites offering numerous markets for the upcoming UEFA Champions League match. However, the best in the business is BC.GAME Sportsbook. It is a cryptocurrency bookmaker, meaning you can play anonymously and access the betting markets from anywhere in the world, using a trusted VPN. Below, the betting odds provided are taken from BC.GAME Sportsbook.

Betting Odds

  • Dortmund to Win – 2.15
  • PSV to Win – 3.15
  • Draw – 3.65
  • Dortmund to Qualify – 1.61
  • PSV to Qualify – 2.26
  • Dortmund to Win or Draw – 1.29
  • PSV to Win or Draw – 1.62
  • Dortmund or PSV to Win – 1.22
  • Both Teams to Score Yes – 1.51
  • Both Teams to Score No – 2.43
  • Both Teams to Score and Dortmund to Win – 3.7
  • Both Teams to Score and PSV to Win – 5

Player Props

One of the many impressive features of BC.GAME Sportsbook is the ability to place various player props. This means if you do not want to bet on teams to win or the number of goals, you can simply follow the action by betting on players. Popular player prop markets include players scoring, assisting, committing a foul, or being booked. Below, we take a look at the most popular player props to follow.


The most likely player to score for Dortmund is Sebastien Haller. A bet on Haller to score vs PSV would almost be a sure thing. A bet on Jadon Sancho to assist vs PSV is also a likely winner. Lastly, a bet on Mats Hummelsto be booked vs PSV could be an interesting wager.


Much like Dortmund, PSV also have their dangerous men. A bet on Luuk de Jong to score vs Dortmund would be a good wager. Likewise, a bet on Malik Tillman to assist vs Dortmund would not be a bad shout. The player who is most likely to be booked vs Dortmund is Armel Bella Kotchap. A bet on Armel Bella Kotchap to receive a booking vs Dortmund is an almost guaranteed winner.

The Bottom Line

To conclude our Dortmund vs PSV Champions League Round of 16 Betting Preview, we hope that you have found a list of betting markets that suit your personal preferences. The player prop markets offered by BC.GAME Sportsbook are especially ones to follow. To learn more about BC.GAME Sportsbook review, check out the link to the popular online sportsbook site.

Click here to try the best odds at BC.GAME Sportsbook

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