|2.||Justin Bieber VEVO||66,441,455||21|
|3.||Hola Soy German||35,284,234||26|
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Taylor Swift, the Mastermind
There are only a very few superstars out there who are immune to losing. One of them is Taylor Swift, American singer-songwriter, businessman, and marketing-genius. In 2017, she took one of the biggest backlashes a star had in recent memory and turned it into pure gold.
While people were trending #TaylorSwiftisOver on Twitter, the 28-year-old mastermind was most probably penning her iconic comeback single – “Look What You Made Me Do” – owning her reputation with her head held high. The music video for the single was watched 43 million times on YouTube – in 24 hours. After everything was said and done, her album – Reputation – sold 1,2 million units in the US and 4,5 million units globally, just to become the second best-selling album in 2017.
Considering all the above, if someone would say “bet some money on Taylor Swift to have the most YouTube subscribers by the end of 2018” you probably wouldn’t hesitate too long before doing so (regardless of your opinion on her.) However, we must keep in mind that YouTube is a separate ecosystem with its own superstars, ruled by an indestructible YouTuber.
PewDiePie, the Indestructible
The person most likely to end up with the most subscribers by the end of this year is Felix Kjellberg, aka PewDiePie. The reigning King of YouTube is just as indestructible as Swift herself. Kjellberg had many, very serious scandals over the years, making him lose out on huge opportunities. Yet none of that was enough to destroy him. At this point, everybody should just accept it: PewDiePie is here to stay.
The only way to rule him out is to accept his victory
(Update: 10.09.2018: The betting odds excluding PewDiePie are not available anymore.) Kjellberg has over 65 million subscribers at the very moment. Meanwhile, Taylor Swift is on her way to 31 million. Though, you never know with Swift, it’s unlikely that she’ll overtake PewDiePie. We cannot even count on the YouTuber to do something controversial, as he would just come back from it, stronger than before. Having established that, it’s time to respectfully put his name aside and move on to the betting spread that doesn’t include him.
Justin Bieber takes the lead without PewDiePie
Now, we are looking at the following bet: who will have the most subscribers on YouTube by the end of 2018, if we don’t count PewDiePie? On this list, Taylor Swift is the 6th (out of 9) however the race is extremely tight. The most likely to win is Justin Bieber, who’s about to reach 41 million subscribers. In the last 30 days he earned 524,765 subs, around 17,492/day. He is predicted to have around 66 million subscribers by the end of 2018. That prediction in Swift’s case is 54 million. She gained 250,808 subs in the last 30 day, which translates to 8,360/day. However, we still haven’t shared any stats for the channels in-between the two.
You might ask: why are you pushing Taylor Swift when her odds place her only at sixth? The answer lays in statistics and predictions from Social Blade. Though she might be only the sixth when it comes to the betting odds, her predicted subscriber-count by 03.01.2019 is much higher than Hola Soy German’s who has the second best odds after Bieber. Take a look at the chart below:
Now, she’s still behind Justin Bieber, but we see a completely different picture. If she would to do something that makes headlines for weeks, or releases a Christmas song, she could definitely overtake Bieber. If you are interested in betting on this event, check out the detailed odds below, and make your bet. Keep in mind: anything that these stars do can have an effect on their views and subscribers. A controversy can diminish but also increase their numbers.