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Presidential election betting predictions in France: will Macron stay for the second term?

  • Emmanuel Macron has a support similar to his 2017 results
  • Gap between two candidates is getting narrower
Presidential election betting predictions in France
Image source: Remi Jouan / CC BY via Wikimedia Commons

It’s two years to go before France elects its new president. The first round of the French presidential election will take place between 8 to 23 April 2022. Current president Emmanuel Macron has a dominating lead in Presidential election betting predictions in France. But could Marine Le Pen still surprise France? 

Emmanuel Macron didn’t have a good run on last May’s European Parliament elections. His party Republic on the Move got 22.4 percent of the national vote. Meanwhile, his main opponent Marine Le Pen’s National Rally was ahead of Macron’s En Marche. Formerly the National Front got 23.3 percent of the national vote. However, Macron’s results weren’t very far off what he had won in the first round of the 2017 presidential election.

According to online gambling sites in France, this means he still has the best chance to win the 2022 presidential elections.

Presidential election betting predictions in France: Margins are shrinking

File:Emmanuel Macron in Tallinn Digital Summit. Welcome dinner hosted by HE Donald Tusk. Handshake (36669381364) (cropped).jpg
Emanuel Macron in Tallinn – Image source: EU2017EE Estonian Presidency / CC BY via Wikimedia Commons

If the voting was today Macron and Le Pen would run closely in the first round of presidential elections. This is according to all the recent polls.

However, Macron will still beat the far-right leader in the second round of the 2022 election. The margin, however, between two candidates will be much smaller.

Unlike last year when it was clear that Macron will easily beat Le Pen, this time the victory won’t be easy for him. Then Macron was a brilliant newcomer, who was beating Le Pen in TV debates. Moreover, he was very popular among French people. As polls show, a large section of voters doesn’t believe that Macron can deliver the new kind of politics they want. Given his unpopularity and the Gilets Jaunes rebellion, Macron has much more convincing to do.

However, Presidential election betting predictions in France still believe in his victory. According to 1XBet Sportsbook, the current president of France has 1.8 odds to win the 2022 elections.

 

France is not ready for a president with racist past

Marine Le Pen may have come first in the May European Parliament elections, but it doesn’t mean the far-right leader is on her way to the French presidency.

Macron von over Le Pen 66%-34% in the second round of the 2017 presidential election. While the gap promises to be narrower this time. Still, it doesn’t look like the majority of the French are ready to vote for a party with a racist past. Recent polls show that the majority of French have a negative opinion of Le Pen. Furthermore, more than 60 % of French people think that her party is institutionally racist.

However, in the age of Trump and Brexit, we can’t exclude the probability of having a far-right-wing winner. 1xBet Sportsbook gives that scenario the odds of 5.5.

Don’t forget to get regular updates on Presidential election betting predictions in France on online gambling news in France.

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