The Odds of Dying in a Plane Crash

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Posted: December 6, 2019

Updated: January 3, 2020

  • You will not die on this flight
  • More chance of being eaten by a shark
  • Of course, you might be unlucky
So what are the odds of dying in a plane crash?  You have a fear of flying. And it doesn't matter how many times you're told that your fear is irrational. Or even how safe flying is. Or that you have more chance of being eaten by a pig. But without statistics, you know that these are just empty words. So let's have a deep dive and look at the facts. The real odds of dying in a plane crash. So buckle up, seats upright and off we go!

Introduction: The Odds of Dying in a Plane Crash

For the morbid among you, there is an app called "Am I Going Down" which will happily calculate the probability of your particular flight crashing. Daenerys uses it whenever she's on her dragon. For example, flying to New York from London on a Virgin Atlantic Airbus 330, you have a 5.3 million to 1 chance of an accident. That translates to you flying 14,716 years before a crash happens. See how low those odds are? Starting to feel better? You'll have better odds at Intertops. Infact there are greater odds of Iron Man being the first to die in Avenger's Endgame. Remember that there are around 35 million commercial flights each year. And they are moving 3.5 billion passengers. Now if flying was that unsafe, then we would be seeing airplanes falling out of the sky on a regular basis. Turns out no one has died on a US plane for over 8 years.
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Pilot: "Let's play a game...."

Sully says "No Worries"

Another thing to keep in mind is that the majority of aircraft crashes involve small private planes and air taxis. And with private aircraft there are less rules to follow and very little in the form of oversight. Commercial airlines take both pilot and aircraft safety much more seriously. Comparing different forms of transportation and using deaths per billion miles gives us some more life affirming answers. For example, according to online gambling news in the US, flying has 0.07 deaths per billion miles. Compare this with motorcycles, at 212.57 deaths per billion miles and cars at 7.28. So in reality, you're 100 times more likely to meet your maker in your car. In an accident with a motor cycle! In fact you have a greater chance winning at  Intertops.

The Odds of Dying During a Year

You can work out the odds of dying during the course of a year by dividing the number of deaths by the actual population. If you want the odds over the course of your entire lifetime, just divide the one-year odds by your life expectancy, which is currently about 78.6 years in the US.
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Donnie Darko will miss Frank
Here are your top ten ways to meet your maker in the US.
  • Unintentional poisoning (1 in 70)
  • Suicide (1 in 91)
  • Motor vehicle accidents (1 in 102)
  • Accidental fall (1 in 119)
  • Gun assault (1 in 285)
  • Drowning (1 in 1,086)
  • Fire or smoke exposure (1 in 1,506)
  • Choking on food (1 in 3,138)
  • Biking accidents (1 in 4,050)
  • Accidental shooting (1 in 8,305)

Final Destination is the Flight Movie

So why are some people so afraid of dying in a plane crash? Well there are a couple of notable reasons. Firstly it's a catastrophic event, a big event with lots of victims. That means killing a lot of people in one go. And secondly, by a horrific means. We can all imagine the time taken for the plane to fall from the clouds and all the passengers unable to do anything to avert the enviable. All that screaming and crying. Either to be smashed to nothing , sucked out the window and free falling to terra firma or burning to a crisp on the runway.  So it tends to stand out from other more sedate methods of death. Like dying peacefully in your own bed.
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Lots of time to contemplate your destiny

Venit Tempus Tuam

If you do have a fear of flying, then first study the facts. Look into the numbers and statistics and maybe you'll start to feel better. Or you could check out these online gambling sites in the US. Try your luck first. If you win, take the flight. Maybe read the cards. After all then your odds of dying in a plane crash are minimized. Of course you could always end up on that unlucky plane!
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